"What we have here is a failure to communicate."
— "Cool Hand Luke"
The New England Patriots have been in well-publicized negotiations with disgruntled cornerback Asante Samuel, and so far, very little progress has been made. With Samuel threatening to skip mini-camp and sit out the first 10 games of the season, the Pats suddenly have a monstrous hole in their secondary, and if there is any weakness on this team, it has to be in the defensive backfield. So what are the Pats going to do in order to keep their title hopes alive?
Ellis Hobbs seems to have the inside track to the No. 1 corner spot coming into the season. Hobbs will be entering his third season, and since being drafted in the third round of the '05 draft, Hobbs as shown that he has the ability to play very well when playing in pass defenses, and has also been able to be a reliable cover man when matched up one-on-one with outside receivers.
However, it will be a tall task to cover the No. 1 receivers the Pats will be playing, particularly in their own division, with Lee Evans, Laveranues Coles, and Chris Chambers all being exceptional wide-outs and Pro Bowl candidates each year. Hobbs is also fairly undersized for his position, measuring in at 5'9, 190 pounds, so will trading bumps with a receiver like Chambers faze him? What is known is the fact that Hobbs has been trusted on in the past, and for the most part, he has been able to hold his own.
All along, the Patriots' brass has felt that Samuel is somewhat a "product of the system," and that paying him Nate Clements or Champ Bailey money simply would be too much a player to man a position that could be filled by someone else, again, because their system is so good that the Pats can put anyone in that opening and will be able to not only survive, but prosper. However, think back to the receiver position last year, and the personnel that were plugged in to replace the voids left by Deion Branch and David Givens. Although their plan worked out for the most part, in big games it ended up being the difference between a win and a loss, especially true in the AFC Championship Game.
Over the offseason, the Pats spent a ton of money to correct their receiver problem, but it seemed like the reinforcements came too late, and the damage was already done. So with all that being said, how can it be assumed that this won't happen again this year at the corner position? Sure, Samuel could very well be a "product," but even if he is, he has played so outstanding in the Pats' defensive scheme that he has almost become an irreplaceable commodity. So although the Pats are unwilling to pay Samuel's asking price (reportedly in the $10 million a year range), the cost that they may be taking on by letting him walk could grow exponentially by the week. So that's just something to keep in mind when looking at Hobbs, or whoever else could be replacing Samuel as their best shut-down corner.
In one of the more unheralded moves of this offseason for any team in the league, the Pats were able to go out and sign Tory James, who is two years removed from his Pro Bowl appearance with Cincinnati. Although the team claims that this was purely to add depth to the team, clearly there was a big gap between Samuel and the Patriots in terms of the contract talks, so the James move feels like a bit of an "insurance policy" to an outsider.
In any event, what James brings to the table is someone who will, at the very least, compete for the opening that will likely be left by Samuel. James has recorded at least four interceptions in six straight seasons while playing for Oakland and the Bengals. In 2004, his Pro Bowl season, James had the best year of his career, recording 56 tackles and 8 interceptions.
However, something that may be overlooked is the fact that James has played on artificial turf for at least half of his games. When you consider that Gillette Stadium's grass conditions are not always "pristine," and that James will be entering his 11th season in the league, there will probably be some concerns that James may not have the kind of pace needed to stay with the burners of the AFC East. However, throughout the Pats' opening mini-camp, James has shown encouraging signs, so the grass may not be a factor. Still, it's something to think about, and it will be interesting to see if James can adjust to the field, particularly when the track is slow.
Competing with James to line up opposite Hobbs will be Chad Scott and Randall Gay. Scott is the more experienced of the two, and like James, will be entering his 11th season. Scott, unlike Hobbs, has the prototypical size of a shut-down corner, coming in at 6'1, 205 pounds. Scott ideally would be used in the slot to cover bigger receivers going over the middle, but because of the lack of corner depth, Scott could be used on the outside.
Gay is entering his fourth season, but in his last two, he has played just eight games combined, being put on injured reserve twice for various leg injuries. Gay seems to be playing with a chip on his shoulder, as he was quoted as saying, "I can say this, I'm the most anxious person for training camp. I'm about the only one here that's ready for it to come." Even though the depth is short, it's likely Gay will only be used in nickel and dime passing formations in order to slowly get Gay back to "game speed."
When talking about the safeties, the biggest question has to be the health of Rodney Harrison, who is coming off of a horrific leg injury that he suffered in the regular season finale against Tennessee, was unable to play in any of the three postseason games, and whose initial diagnosis had him missing a portion of the 2007 season.
However, Harrison made a faster recovery than what was expected, and showed up to mini-camp close to full-strength. Clearly, this is a completely different defense without Harrison in the lineup, and although the Pats made it to the AFC Championship Game, Peyton Manning and the Colts' passing offense carved up the Pats' secondary, particularly in the second half en route to their dramatic comeback victory. Harrison's presence over the middle brings an intimidation factor that few defenders on New England, let alone the entire league, can bring to the table.
The other possible safety lining up with Harrison could be Eugene Wilson. Wilson, who is coming off a season where he missed the final 10 games of the regular season and the playoffs with a hamstring injury, has been able to make a sizable impact in his first three full seasons, recording four interceptions in both '03 and '04 when Wilson was used at both safety and corner.
Because of his versatility, there stands a chance that, if needed, he could be moved over to the cornerback position, making him an invaluable commodity given the current state of the backfield. While at Illinois, Wilson, who was used primarily at Illinois as a corner, still needs to grow into lining up on the outside in the NFL. Wilson is another guy who will need to be nurtured back into actual "game speed" slowly, and whether that means lining up at safety, or being used primarily in multiple corner sets remains to be seen.
While Rodney's health is still somewhat in question, and Eugene still trying to get up to speed, the Pats were able to go out and get the talented Brandon Meriweather in the first round of the '07 draft. Sure, the former Miami Hurricane standout comes to the Patriots with a troubled past of off-the-field incidents, but what is not in question is his ability to produce on the football field.
When mini-camp opened, Meriweather was not present, and reports indicated that he was suffering from a minor hamstring injury. Judging from the past, the extent of the injury may never be known, as the Pats are excellent at keeping their injury report under tight wraps until the season rolls around. If he comes into the season at full strength, and is able to show the kind of play-making ability that made him the 24th overall selection this year, then there stands a chance that he could possibly replace Wilson as the starting free safety, or, if Harrison is unable to go, it will be a sure thing that Meriweather would be lining up in the strong safety position opposite Wilson for their opening game against the Jets.
With a lot of question marks entering the season, there is something that cannot be disputed. Having Asante Samuel on the field makes this unit, and the defense on a whole, better. However, the Pats are not going to break from their notion that the idea of giving Samuel a long-term deal, for the kind of money given to an elite corner, is going to put the total compensation of the contract at a much higher level than they are willing to go. It seems as though there is no resolution to this story in sight, and as long as Samuel and the Pats continue to remain true to their beliefs, then expect some of the names mentioned above to be called on to make a large contribution to the Pats' run at a fourth title in seven years.
June 19, 2007
Jim R:
Rich,
“a monstrous hole in their secondary”
I think you may be making too much of the Samuel loss , if it happens and here is why.
1. As you said it is the system that has a lot to do
with Samuel’s performance. He has had 4 years to learn the system and only last year did he really
perform well (10 ints). But even last year in the early part of the year he struggled at times, being out of position.
2. He is not that much better than a healthy Hobbs. Hobbs, who knows the system can take
Samuel role without much degradation to the position.
3. With Hobbs taking the #1 role that leaves someone to do what wounded Hobbs did last year. Gay is back..as you mentioned. He started in one of PATs super bowl wins, 2005 I think.
Then there is James and Scott both very seasoned vets who could assume the #2 role and at least equal what the wounded Hobbs did last year.
4. As most know the CB position is only one part
of a good pass defense. With the addition of
A.Thomas expectations are that pressure on the QB will be better than last year.
5. Harrison’s leadership will pull that secondary together as it has in the past. He was flying around during mini camp. If he stays healthy that will be a big plus.
6. New blood. There are some interesting things going on with developmental players who may be ready to assume a bigger role. One report out of mini camp said a relatively unlnown rookie CB was assigned to cover R.Moss and didn’t look out of place at all.
Considering all, I sincerely don’t there will be a signficant degradation without Samuel.
“Having Asante Samuel on the field makes this unit, and the defense on a whole, better.”
I totally agree … after all he has had 4 seasons learning the system.
But that may only be the case for the first 8 games or so. By mid season with no significant injuries I expect the Defense to better than last year. It may even happen before mid season.
All in all a good article with some good points.
BTW, I think it was the depleted PATs LB core that was mainly responsible for the come back loss in the AFC game.
Jim
June 19, 2007
Joe:
“When you consider that Gillette Stadium’s grass conditions are not always “pristine,” and that James will be entering his 11th season in the league, there will probably be some concerns that James may not have the kind of pace needed to stay with the burners of the AFC East. “
The Patriots replaced their grass with artificial turf last year.
June 19, 2007
Rich:
Good catch on your part Joe. I was so used to seeing players slip and slide at Gillette that I completely forgot about the new field turf that was installed in November. However, with the amount of precipitation that goes through the New England area in the winter months, the field will still be sloppy, and although there won’t be any mud to go along with it, it still is going to be difficult for a defensive back to keep his footing and play the position like he normally would. I do apologize for saying they still had grass though, and I appreciate your feedback. Thanks again.
~Rich
June 20, 2007
Jay Johnson:
When was the last time a top player sat out until week 10? Thought so…. See you in AZ!